6 Things to Know About Stocks and Recessions

Yesterday, the Federal Reserve released the minutes from its March Federal Open Market Committee meeting. In the section summarizing staff projections, to the surprise of some, the staff explicitly forecasted a recession.

Should We Trust the Polls?

As the race for the White House enters the homestretch, some indicators suggest the election may be closer than polls are saying. GDP, stock performance, and the US dollar all have a history of picking the winner.

Biggest GDP Contraction Ever

The best thing we can say about today’s US gross domestic product (GDP) report for the second quarter is that it’s behind us. GDP contracted at a 32.9% annualized rate …