World Cup-onomics 2026: A More Diversified Economic Event
The 2026 FIFA Soccer World Cup kicks off today, and it will look very different from prior tournaments, not just on the field, but economically.
How’s It Going? Depends on Who You Ask in a Post-Pandemic Economy
The post-pandemic economy is treating people very differently, creating a headache for central bankers. The extreme differences can often get traced back to living situations, as renters have a very …
6 Things to Know About Stocks and Recessions
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve released the minutes from its March Federal Open Market Committee meeting. In the section summarizing staff projections, to the surprise of some, the staff explicitly forecasted a recession.
4 Important Takeaways from the Fed’s 0.75% Hike
The Federal Reserve concluded its two day policy meeting yesterday and announced it was raising its benchmark rate by 0.75%. Here are four observations about yesterday’s rate hike.
Why Stagflation Isn’t In the Cards
The term stagflation has been circulating increasingly in the financial media. This week we share a current outlook on stagflation, the misery index, and inflation.
Should We Trust the Polls?
As the race for the White House enters the homestretch, some indicators suggest the election may be closer than polls are saying. GDP, stock performance, and the US dollar all have a history of picking the winner.
Biggest GDP Contraction Ever
The best thing we can say about today’s US gross domestic product (GDP) report for the second quarter is that it’s behind us. GDP contracted at a 32.9% annualized rate …